Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 94461.502626 99582.857484 104699.302701 110190.937243 115914.892633 121701.599376 127990.383426
2025-07-20 86714.032504 94600.944283 102695.566372 111613.738277 121152.676544 131038.936418 142048.861058
2025-07-27 80848.652588 90635.351493 100895.932547 112433.614966 125023.637090 138322.725800 153410.379774
2025-08-03 75868.057304 87034.267975 98953.067497 112585.937535 127710.697144 143939.005086 162630.104537
2025-08-10 71950.936586 84226.458393 97536.366770 112987.367985 130375.518879 149283.529954 171342.483157
2025-08-17 68431.783646 81593.589277 96068.633151 113097.565913 132507.623459 153866.765170 179069.944816
2025-08-24 66094.648313 80125.821028 95755.421976 114363.003081 135814.526901 159669.739843 188101.026926
2025-08-31 63210.197353 77861.295310 94382.490598 114276.162196 137458.439446 163495.452394 194819.830542
2025-09-07 61529.089524 76896.755381 94419.204470 115735.518206 140816.461156 169236.630785 203714.779302
2025-09-14 59734.021887 75699.937670 94098.958461 116701.123769 143539.769695 174207.498356 211706.062243
2025-09-21 57633.866751 74042.244219 93148.613268 116843.739167 145231.177003 177932.083031 218220.380487
2025-09-28 55636.550272 72425.140309 92170.917184 116883.223220 146741.545857 181402.659117 224413.601177
2025-10-05 54619.544398 71984.217407 92599.302992 118619.115469 150305.226130 187350.383315 233624.210386
2025-10-12 53541.356852 71422.702063 92846.190866 120110.605971 153566.688256 192951.052772 242461.275275
2025-10-19 52222.642098 70507.052802 92613.032813 120976.515225 156043.696449 197604.085855 250176.467942
2025-10-26 50641.009989 69201.557393 91845.851662 121137.189044 157622.594745 201153.447525 256558.088433
2025-11-02 49278.452294 68126.604318 91323.056766 121563.040061 159498.977020 205048.687061 263361.934619
2025-11-09 47847.948236 66915.562175 90585.319885 121679.949293 160961.606602 208421.291898 269526.821079
2025-11-16 47053.421244 66501.361098 90833.905092 123022.957933 163945.571915 213666.431214 278012.858054
2025-11-23 45661.315150 65258.459966 89982.511343 122930.795324 165098.312627 216634.218795 283688.508505
2025-11-30 45053.363657 65031.223923 90422.094924 124479.433976 168322.515789 222184.009786 292594.501083
2025-12-07 44252.550075 64518.905058 90468.769182 125503.997458 170871.864258 226895.647159 300477.454816
2025-12-14 43123.673373 63530.815624 89863.116434 125655.312784 172284.822088 230173.372111 306571.101943